WMUR Politics Newsletter

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Good morning. With 102 days until election day and a recent shakeup at the top of the Democratic ticket, new polls from UNH and Saint Anselm College are providing a spotlight into changes in the race.

In a general election matchup, a poll from the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College shows Harris with 50 percent over Trump’s 44 percent. There were 2,083 registered voters who responded to the Saint Anselm College Survey Center poll from July 24-25. This poll had a margin of error of +/- 2.1%.

Meanwhile, a University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll also out on Thursday shows a similar spread, with Harris at 49 percent of support. Trump is second at 43 percent. There were 3,016 respondents to the UNH poll from July 23-25, including 2,875 likely general election voters. The poll had a margin of error of +/- 1.8 percent.

“New Hampshire now has gone from potentially a Trump win and now back to the Democratic win,” New Hampshire Institute Executive Director Neil Levesque said.

Just last month, Trump had a two-point lead over President Joe Biden.

New Hampshire Republican Party Chairman Chris Ager argues that while Harris is a new name on the ballot, she represents the same Biden administration policies.

“The last time Kamala Harris was on the ballot here, she dropped like a rock because people saw what she was about and she ended up at three percent and dropping out of the primary. I think the same thing is going to happen in this presidential election,” Ager said.

While polls provide important snapshots of voter preferences, it’s important to note that those preferences could change in the months leading to election day.

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